Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Lens
27.5%
Draw
21.8%
Laval
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Lens
vs
0.70
Laval
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.7%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).