Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Santa Clara
32.3%
Draw
30.5%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Santa Clara
vs
0.81
Aves
Markets
BTTS33.1%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.551.5%
Over 2.525.5%
Over 3.510.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.9%
1-0
16.9%
0-1
14.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).