Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
Girona
26.8%
Draw
16.9%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Girona
vs
0.69
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).