Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Castellon
19.9%
Draw
23.2%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Castellon
vs
1.39
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.549.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.0%
3-2
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).