Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Portsmouth
33.7%
Draw
38.3%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Portsmouth
vs
1.04
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.2%
0-1
14.8%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).