Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Ceuta
24.1%
Draw
33.7%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Ceuta
vs
1.39
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.1%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).