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09 Mar 2026 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.0%
Alanyaspor
36.3%
Draw
24.7%
Genclerbirligi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Alanyaspor

vs
0.91

Genclerbirligi

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.6%
0-0
15.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).