Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Scunthorpe
26.8%
Draw
37.7%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Scunthorpe
vs
1.47
Southend
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).