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23 Jan 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.1%
Frosinone
24.8%
Draw
18.0%
Reggina

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Frosinone

vs
0.94

Reggina

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
2.9%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).