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28 Feb 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.6%
Anderlecht
25.0%
Draw
21.5%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Anderlecht

vs
0.98

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).