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10 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.2%
Kolos Kovalivka
32.4%
Draw
18.4%
Inhulets

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Kolos Kovalivka

vs
0.58

Inhulets

Markets

BTTS30.6%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.552.0%
Over 2.525.2%
Over 3.59.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.9%
0-0
18.0%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
6.8%
3-0
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
0-2
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.0%
4-0
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).