Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Valenciennes
27.4%
Draw
35.0%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Valenciennes
vs
1.05
Caen
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).