Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.6%
Sp Lisbon
7.3%
Draw
2.1%
Belenenses
Expected Goals (xG)
3.06
Sp Lisbon
vs
0.32
Belenenses
Markets
BTTS25.6%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
16.3%
2-0
16.0%
4-0
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
5-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
4-1
3.9%
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3.1%
5-1
2.4%
0-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).