Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.9%
York
11.5%
Draw
5.6%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
3.17
York
vs
0.79
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.575.7%
Over 3.556.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
4-1
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
1-1
5.2%
5-0
5.1%
5-1
4.0%
3-2
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).