Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Port Vale
22.9%
Draw
53.3%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Port Vale
vs
1.61
Reading
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
10.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).