Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Truro
27.9%
Draw
47.0%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Truro
vs
1.51
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.9%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).