Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Nantes
24.4%
Draw
43.2%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Nantes
vs
1.45
Nice
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).