Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Brest
23.9%
Draw
41.3%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Brest
vs
1.47
Lyon
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).