Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Lugo
27.8%
Draw
50.8%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Lugo
vs
1.35
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
11.0%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).