Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.4%
Wrexham
23.1%
Draw
19.5%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Wrexham
vs
0.86
Colchester
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).