Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Sampdoria
27.4%
Draw
44.2%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Sampdoria
vs
1.31
Empoli
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).