Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Middlesbrough
24.4%
Draw
18.8%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Middlesbrough
vs
0.98
QPR
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
3.0%
4-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).