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05 Apr 2026 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.5%
Le Havre
36.7%
Draw
27.9%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Le Havre

vs
0.64

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS24.7%
Over 0.576.3%
Over 1.540.5%
Over 2.516.9%
Over 3.55.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
23.7%
1-0
19.4%
0-1
16.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.0%
2-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
3-0
1.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
0-3
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).