Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Manchester City
22.8%
Draw
34.5%
Chadderton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Manchester City
vs
1.48
Chadderton
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
0-0
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).