Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Lecce
29.8%
Draw
40.1%
Udinese
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Lecce
vs
1.12
Udinese
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).