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29 Apr 2022 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.7%
Giresunspor
25.5%
Draw
17.8%
Ad. Demirspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.09

Giresunspor

vs
1.14

Ad. Demirspor

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
3-0
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
4-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).