Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.0%
Deportivo Alavés
22.7%
Draw
63.4%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Deportivo Alavés
vs
1.84
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
0-4
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).