Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.6%
Paris SG
22.1%
Draw
28.4%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Paris SG
vs
1.28
Lyon
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).