Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.5%
Bologna
26.1%
Draw
47.4%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Bologna
vs
1.44
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).