Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Sociedad B
23.3%
Draw
27.9%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Sociedad B
vs
1.26
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
4.9%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).