Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Exeter
30.7%
Draw
27.5%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Exeter
vs
0.75
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS32.5%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.551.5%
Over 2.525.9%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
0-0
16.1%
0-1
14.0%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).