Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Crystal Palace
30.7%
Draw
31.1%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Crystal Palace
vs
1.16
Fulham
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).