Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Mansfield
26.0%
Draw
27.3%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Mansfield
vs
1.00
Northampton
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).