Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Oxford
30.9%
Draw
25.6%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Oxford
vs
0.90
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
13.7%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).