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HHT: 21CSV

07 May 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.5%
Hamburg
21.9%
Draw
24.6%
Hannover

Expected Goals (xG)

2.22

Hamburg

vs
1.48

Hannover

Markets

BTTS69.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.550.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
2-3
3.3%
0-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).