Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Wolfsburg
27.0%
Draw
33.4%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Wolfsburg
vs
1.33
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).