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22 Nov 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.9%
Udinese
26.3%
Draw
39.8%
Bologna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Udinese

vs
1.33

Bologna

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).