Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Hartlepool
30.8%
Draw
27.4%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Hartlepool
vs
0.96
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).