Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.3%
Rennes
12.1%
Draw
8.6%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.96
Rennes
vs
0.90
Troyes
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.574.0%
Over 3.553.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-0
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
4-1
6.1%
1-1
5.3%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
3.7%
5-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).