Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Charlton
33.0%
Draw
40.1%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Charlton
vs
1.09
Millwall
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.3%
0-1
14.8%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).