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11 Apr 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.6%
Charlton
33.6%
Draw
28.9%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Charlton

vs
0.89

Preston

Markets

BTTS39.3%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.6%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
14.0%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).