Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
AC London
26.0%
Draw
39.4%
Sturm Graz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
AC London
vs
1.55
Sturm Graz
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).