Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Rubin Kazan
27.1%
Draw
16.3%
Orenburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Rubin Kazan
vs
0.79
Orenburg
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
11.9%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).