Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.2%
Tranmere
21.6%
Draw
25.1%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Tranmere
vs
1.23
Newport County
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
3-0
5.0%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).