Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.3%
Famalicao
21.6%
Draw
16.1%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Famalicao
vs
0.78
Estrela
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).