⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 11CSV

28 Apr 2018

Leeds

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.2%
Norwich
24.6%
Draw
58.2%
Leeds

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Norwich

vs
1.81

Leeds

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
0-1
11.2%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
3.0%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).