Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.4%
Alverca
27.7%
Draw
16.9%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Alverca
vs
0.73
AVS
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
12.2%
0-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).