Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.9%
Southend
19.2%
Draw
10.8%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Southend
vs
0.79
Dorking
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).