Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Virtus Entella
32.9%
Draw
42.0%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Virtus Entella
vs
1.16
Modena
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.8%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
14.4%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).