Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.0%
Monaco
20.9%
Draw
22.1%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Monaco
vs
1.11
Brest
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).